Showing posts with label Cramer Bump. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cramer Bump. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Dividend Payments and Investing Thoughts

The Markets has been quite volatile these past few weeks.

From weak earnings reports to worries of Sequestration (more on this later).  Anyone who's not invested for the long term would have taken more hits than a MLB slugger.

Luckily for me, I'm here for the long term.  I see the recent declines as excellent opportunity to get in to new positions or build up on my current portfolio. It also makes my dividend-paying stocks into accidental high-yielders.  Since I reinvest my dividends, lower stock prices mean I can get more shares with my dividends.
Speaking of dividends, I have three stocks that paid me some dividends in February.

Apple (AAPL)
  •  Ex-dividend date of 02/07/2013 with Dividend date of 02/13/2013.  
  •  AAPL paid me $5.74 dividends and I got 0.0123 shares @ $466.67.                        
Xilinx Inc. (XLNX)
  •  Ex-dividend date of 02/04/2013 with Dividend date of 02/26/2013.  
  •  XLNX paid me $2.01 dividends and I got shares 0.0548 @ $36.68.                          
Energy Transfer Partners (ETP)
  • Ex-dividend date of 02/05/2013 with Dividend date of 02/13/2013.
  •  ETP paid me $10.12 dividends and I got 0.2161 shares @ $46.83.
                                                   
Not bad for February.

Lately, I've been hearing a lot of things on the news about Apple, the US Government and a possible slow down in the Market.


Let's start with Apple.  Granted it has been a tough last few months for the company (and it's shareholders) as it's stock price dropped from over $700/share to just under $443/ share (as of 02/25/13).  With increased competition from Samsung in the phone and tablet markets and the perceived loss of the "Apple Coolness",  Apple may be feeling some pressure from shareholders, customers and Wall Street to come out with some new "must have" device.  On top that, investor David Einhorn sued Apple a few weeks ago asking the company to start issuing "preferred stocks" to it's shareholders or at least show a plan on either returning cash to shareholders or other investments from Apple's $137 Billion in cash reserves.  CEO Tim Cook said last week that this lawsuit is "silly" and I tend to agree.  Here's why: One of the main reasons I invested in Apple is their huge cash reserves.  Even if no innovative products comes out from Apple in the next 5 years, the cash reserves alone would be enough for them to operate without borrowing money or going bankrupt.  Stability = Confidence.  Furthermore, if some new company comes up with something new, Apple can use the cash reserves to easily acquire the company and it's employees (talent) into the fold and use that new product/talent to come out with the next new thing.  Plus, if I want to go crazy with predictions, maybe Apple is just saving up to buy their own cable company or TV network.  Imagine if Apple buys HBO and has sole exclusive rights to great content like Game of Thrones. Suddenly, the rumored Apple TV now has a must-buy feature.  One can dream right?

Finally, suing to "force" a company to spend their money seems so short sighted.  Apple is still a relatively successful company and it is only Wall Street who is doubting Apple's track record.  Granted, I would appreciate a dividend raise and/or a stock split but I would rather have Apple's executives concentrate their energies and brain power towards new products. They may have lost the Steve Jobs bump but I'm still bullish that Apple can still innovate and lead another technology revolution.

Apparently, on Friday, the Government will have to their draconian budget cuts (Sequestration).  From what I've heard, Defense spending and other government services would feel the huge cuts which some people say would affect our economy negatively.  Quite frankly, I am not that worried.  I bet a deal will be reached by Friday or Monday morning at the latest.  Judging from our experience from the fiscal cliff debacle, Congress would either compromise with the White House or risk losing their respective seats during the midterm elections.  They have to remember, the President is done with elections and practically has nothing to lose whether or not these negotiations succeed or fail. Worse case scenario, it would be a great time to buy stocks (at least the fundamentally stable companies like Apple).

Thursday, February 9, 2012

Updates and the Current Bull Market

So just a brief update.

AAPL just had their Greatest Of All Time (GOAT) quarterly earnings report.  This earnings call put Apple 4th out of the top 10 best quarterly earnings of a companies of all time... most of the top 10 are Oil and Gas companies.  As expected, this boosted the stock up to $493.17 today.  Just 7 points shy of Jim Cramer's $500 price mark.  In as much as I want to get more Apple stock, I want to do more research whether or not the stock still has room to run.  Pending any new product launch in the next 2-3 months, I think I'll wait for a pull back before getting more AAPL.

My LULU position also did well since my last post.  Being up 27% makes me consider to take some profits.   If only I had more than 7 shares of LULU.  After fees and taxes, my profits would be under $20.  So I think, I'll let it ride a bit more or get some more shares.  My thesis is still solid.  I still see a lot of Lululemon customers in the gym and even the new active wear line from the GAP (GPS) only solidifies my theses:  The Healthy Mind and Body movement has some wings besides, bikini season is just 3 months away.  It also helps that the unusually warm winter helped more people work out more.

Finally, XLNX might be giving me a well deserved profit.  Finally give me a 0.43% appreciation.  Of course I can't sell it at that price... fees and taxes.  Plus, it's new hardware season.  I bet XLNX would be part of it.

All in all, my portfolio is up 16.43% ($397.46).  Mainly due to Apple, LULU and GLD.

some might even say we're in a Bull Market.  I think now is the time for some cautious investing optimism.

Upcoming Dividend pay outs:
XLNX - EX-Dividend date Feb 6, 2012.  Dividend date:  Feb 28.
ETP - EX-Dividend date Feb 3, 2012 Dividend date: Feb 13.

Friday, April 1, 2011

Third Stock Pick

Today, I got in Energy Transfer Partners, L.P. (ETP) at $52.14 (even though my LO is $52.15 - I must have typed a "4" instead of a "5".. lucky for me).

I got charged the standard $9.95 commission for the trade. So total transaction is $62.09

I first heard about ETP from Jim Cramer's Mad Money. What struck me with the stock is the dividend yield of 6.70% which considered high.  this made me think if the stock is an accidental high yielder... maybe so.  So After I waited the standard two day grace period (to avoid the "Cramer Bump"), I Put in my LO and got in my position.

I got the stock due to high dividend yield and as my Natural Gas play.  Due to the Nuclear disaster in Japan and the Middle East Tensions,  I predict that Oil and Natural Gas will spike in prices as we lead in to the Spring and Summer months (Lots of people would be driving). As Cramer repeatedly mentioned in his show, Natural Gas is a more practical bridge fuel for our cars and energy use than solar and wind energy.  Also, the USA has a surplus or Natural Gas that we may EXPORT some to other countries.

Also, ETP makes their money thru Natural Gas Midstream, intrastate transport and storage in the US plus they also have a network of retail Propane Gas stores.  ETP's debt mostly consists of investments in pipelines and discovering new sources of Natural Gas.  As mentioned in their 10k report, ETP knows that failure to invest in pipelines and new sources of Natural Gas will severely damage their gross margins and market growth.  Therefore, even though I do not like companies with a lot of debt outstanding, the reasons ETP gave sounds reasonable and is necessary to further their growth and competitive edge.

However, I will keep a watchful eye on this stock.  My goal is to own 10 shares of ETP by 12/31/11. I would sell if the following happens: 1) Dividend is cut/ Eliminated 2) Government regulations hinder or hurt the adaptation of Natural Gas as a viable alternative source of energy.

Exit strategy is my standard 10% gain or the stock reaching a high of $60.