Showing posts with label Fiscal Cliff. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fiscal Cliff. Show all posts

Saturday, March 23, 2013

Getting Stuff For Free, Apple (AAPL) May Boost Dividend Yield, Waste Management (WM) Pays Dividends, Mondelez (MDLZ), Xilinx Inc (XLNX) and Kraft's (KRFT) Ex-Dividend Dates!

I got an email from my discount brokerage. 

They gave me a free credit to use their Automatic Investment Plan service for free!  That's $4 savings! 

You might ask: "So what?"

I say: "Awesome!" 

Here's why, that $4 I would have paid (as commission) to buy stock would just go into buying more shares of the company I want to buy.  And when I'm about to chase the dividend distribution, every share counts!

Here's what I did:

Mondelez International (MDLZ)'s ex-dividend date is 03/27/2013.  I also looked into Kraft (KFRT) and Xilinx Inc (XLNX) ex-dividend dates, 03/26/2013 & 05/13/2013 respectively.  As you can see, I'll miss KFRT's must own date by a day and XLNX is just too far off.  That is why, I'm going with MDLZ.  Granted, MDLZ's dividend is "just" $0.13/share which was down from $0.29 in September 2012 (which was paid before the Kraft/Mondelez transaction), I am bullish with MDLZ's future growth.   With the economy improving, consumers would be buying more snack foods and drinks.  Also, with Easter, Memorial Day and summer just around the corner, I expect a jump in sales for Cadbury chocolates, Nabisco and Oreo cookies and Tang beverages.

Anyways, here's a recap of my purchase:

I transferred $250 into our brokerage account (expected funding on 03/25/2013, Monday).
Along with my $184.50 cash position, I executed an Automatic Savings Plan transaction to buy $434 worth of MDLZ shares.

MDLZ is at $29.81 as of 03/22/2013 11:58 am ET

I estimate to buy 14.4666 shares of MDLZ at $30/share.

I would then own 26.3008 shares of MDLZ which will pay me $3.4191 in dividends.

As always, our dividend payments would be reinvested to buy more shares (0.1139 shares @ $30).

As you would observed, without the $4 discount, the dividend payments would have been swallowed by the fee. Also, I would only be able to buy $430 worth of shares which only buy me 14.3333 shares which will bring me to 26.1675 shares = $3.4017.  A net loss of $0.0174.  Yeah, it may be a small loss but the greater loss is in the future growth due to compound growth rate.  The more shares I own, the greater my dividend payments.

In other news, Waste Management just paid me some dividends. 

We got paid $4.40 in dividends which we reinvested to buy more shares (0.1162 shares @ $37.87).

Extra Credit:  I have read/heard speculation that Apple (AAPL) is "poised" to boost it's dividend payments by 56% (from $2.65/share to $4.14/share) for a 3.7% yield. As you can imagine, shares are up (currently at $459.37) since news of the hike got out.  Although it's a far cry from it's 52-week high of $705. 07, this recent bump may be what nervous shareholders need.  I believe that AAPL being below $500 is really cheap and that it's recent drop is a result of both self-inflicted wounds and external stabs to the company.  From the botched Apple Maps launch to the profit taking during the fiscal cliff, Apple's stock has seen a nose dive to $419 before stabilizing at the $420-$430 range.

In spite of Apple's iPhone 5 and iPad sales being through the roof, Wall Street's expectations are just too high for the Company to beat.  On top of that, Samsung's victories (court judgements and sales) did not help Apple's share price.  But last week, I saw a small glimmer of hope for Apple.  Samsung just launched their new flagship phone, the Galaxy S4 with hype that matched the iPhone but execution that fell flat on Samsung's face.  The whole presentation just showed how masterful Apple's product presentations are.  Samsung's "show" was generally panned by tech journalists and even mainstream media.  The phone however, is a different story.  It told me what I needed to know about Samsung's vision of their phone's future: more of the same.  Critics blasted Apple for the iPhone 5's lack of a differentiating features and design that Samsung seemed to outpace Apple in both fronts.  But with the Galaxy S4 looking and functioning almost the same as the Galaxy S3, I believe Samsung is now experiencing a lag in their "wow" factor. 

In my opinion, it would be tough for Samsung to be "innovative" without Apple to "copy" from. 

That's just my opinion so take it as it is.

So why is this good news for Apple?  Well first, current Galaxy S3 owners have not much of a reason to buy the new S4 which could be the opening for Apple to snatch some of the market share back from Samsung.  Currently iPhone 5s or iPhone 6 rumors have been leading towards a new phone design and with iOS 7 around the corner (WWDC is usually held in June), Apple fans will have a reason to hope.  News of the iWatch and iTV also help fuel speculation that Apple may be launching a new product market that would bring back the Apple cool factor that Steve Jobs used to bring.

So will 2013 bring Apple back on top?  Only time will tell.

Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Dividend Payments and Investing Thoughts

The Markets has been quite volatile these past few weeks.

From weak earnings reports to worries of Sequestration (more on this later).  Anyone who's not invested for the long term would have taken more hits than a MLB slugger.

Luckily for me, I'm here for the long term.  I see the recent declines as excellent opportunity to get in to new positions or build up on my current portfolio. It also makes my dividend-paying stocks into accidental high-yielders.  Since I reinvest my dividends, lower stock prices mean I can get more shares with my dividends.
Speaking of dividends, I have three stocks that paid me some dividends in February.

Apple (AAPL)
  •  Ex-dividend date of 02/07/2013 with Dividend date of 02/13/2013.  
  •  AAPL paid me $5.74 dividends and I got 0.0123 shares @ $466.67.                        
Xilinx Inc. (XLNX)
  •  Ex-dividend date of 02/04/2013 with Dividend date of 02/26/2013.  
  •  XLNX paid me $2.01 dividends and I got shares 0.0548 @ $36.68.                          
Energy Transfer Partners (ETP)
  • Ex-dividend date of 02/05/2013 with Dividend date of 02/13/2013.
  •  ETP paid me $10.12 dividends and I got 0.2161 shares @ $46.83.
                                                   
Not bad for February.

Lately, I've been hearing a lot of things on the news about Apple, the US Government and a possible slow down in the Market.


Let's start with Apple.  Granted it has been a tough last few months for the company (and it's shareholders) as it's stock price dropped from over $700/share to just under $443/ share (as of 02/25/13).  With increased competition from Samsung in the phone and tablet markets and the perceived loss of the "Apple Coolness",  Apple may be feeling some pressure from shareholders, customers and Wall Street to come out with some new "must have" device.  On top that, investor David Einhorn sued Apple a few weeks ago asking the company to start issuing "preferred stocks" to it's shareholders or at least show a plan on either returning cash to shareholders or other investments from Apple's $137 Billion in cash reserves.  CEO Tim Cook said last week that this lawsuit is "silly" and I tend to agree.  Here's why: One of the main reasons I invested in Apple is their huge cash reserves.  Even if no innovative products comes out from Apple in the next 5 years, the cash reserves alone would be enough for them to operate without borrowing money or going bankrupt.  Stability = Confidence.  Furthermore, if some new company comes up with something new, Apple can use the cash reserves to easily acquire the company and it's employees (talent) into the fold and use that new product/talent to come out with the next new thing.  Plus, if I want to go crazy with predictions, maybe Apple is just saving up to buy their own cable company or TV network.  Imagine if Apple buys HBO and has sole exclusive rights to great content like Game of Thrones. Suddenly, the rumored Apple TV now has a must-buy feature.  One can dream right?

Finally, suing to "force" a company to spend their money seems so short sighted.  Apple is still a relatively successful company and it is only Wall Street who is doubting Apple's track record.  Granted, I would appreciate a dividend raise and/or a stock split but I would rather have Apple's executives concentrate their energies and brain power towards new products. They may have lost the Steve Jobs bump but I'm still bullish that Apple can still innovate and lead another technology revolution.

Apparently, on Friday, the Government will have to their draconian budget cuts (Sequestration).  From what I've heard, Defense spending and other government services would feel the huge cuts which some people say would affect our economy negatively.  Quite frankly, I am not that worried.  I bet a deal will be reached by Friday or Monday morning at the latest.  Judging from our experience from the fiscal cliff debacle, Congress would either compromise with the White House or risk losing their respective seats during the midterm elections.  They have to remember, the President is done with elections and practically has nothing to lose whether or not these negotiations succeed or fail. Worse case scenario, it would be a great time to buy stocks (at least the fundamentally stable companies like Apple).

Friday, January 18, 2013

Dividends and Updates


Happy New Year!
 
So the US did not end up over the Fiscal Cliff (we came close though).  I was not surprised that a deal would be made but was surprised with the amount of time it took for them to do something.  Anyway, we're currently not in financial Armageddon and the Stock Market moved on.
 
So here are some updates:
 
The Social Security Tax holiday ended on January 1, 2013 which resulted in smaller take home pay.  I still have to see how much impact this new development will have in my (our) investing capabilities.  I highly doubt it would affect us much but as I always say, if a 2-5% tax increase would hurt you, you're doing it wrong.  Luckily, we kept expenses are low and we built a huge emergency fund so as much as it hurt, I think we'll be fine financially speaking. 
 
To offset the loss of a few hundred dollars, I'm happy to report that our portfolio got paid some dividends.
 
On 01/14/2013, Mondelez paid $1.53 in dividends.  It was reinvested and bought 0.0558 shares of MDLZ at $27.42/share.  On the same day, Kraft also paid dividends.  We got $1.96.  It was reinvested and bought 0.0423 shares of KRFT at $46.34/share.
 
Also, on 01/10/2013, Altria paid $4.71 in dividends.  It was reinvested and bought 0.1476 shares of MO at $31.91. 
 
Granted these dividends are small peanuts compared to the "lost" take home pay but over time, these reinvested dividends would compound and make us more money in the long term.  Besides, it's better than nothing.
 
By the way, I'm not concerned with Apple's over 200 point drop.  As long as Apple manages to use or save  the over $150 Billion dollars in cash in the bank, I am confident they will find a way to release more exciting products either by in-house development or through acquisitions.  But we'll have too see with their earnings call next week.  I have a feeling that even if Apple bottoms out at $400, it would just be a perfect buying opportunity to get more shares and we'll have to have on as it goes back up to around $600.  Besides, the stock is still cheap compared to it's competitors.
 
Meanwhile, I'll keep investing in other sectors that would hedge the current hatred with Tech Stocks.
 
More to follow!
 

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Playing Defense, New Dividends and Split Companies - A Year-end post


It has been a while since I posted something substantial concerning the portfolio.
 
I have been busy with work, co-planning (more like following) the honeymoon and multiple life events that will not be discussed in this post.  Suffice to say, I have been delinquent with my posts and for that, I apologize.
 
Now, with that out of the way, let's get on to business.
 
These days, the Market has been pummeled by the whole Fiscal Cliff discussion.  For those not in the know, if the US Government fail to come up with a deal to fix the budget deficit, there would be a catastrophic sequence of events that might bring the US back into a recession.  Automatic cuts in services, Defense and across the board tax hikes would probably spell disaster not only for the US but for the global economy as well.  That is why we've seen a lot of CEOs, insiders cashing out their stocks to take advantage of the current capital gains tax rate which in my opinion explains why high-flying stock such as Apple (AAPL) dropped so much in recent weeks.
 
Nonetheless, I think playing defense against a possible sell off/crash would be a prudent course of action which brings me to my last move for the year.
 
As you may know, I stocked up on my cash position in preparation for a possible Mitt Romney win in November.  I wanted to be in a position to buy GOP/Wall St-friendly stocks such as Defense Stocks (Lockheed Martin) and the Financials (the banks).  However, Mr. Obama managed to sneak in a win (good news/bad news, I'll leave that to you.  This is not a political blog) and the current status quo was maintained.  I left my cash reserves alone until after my honeymoon while I collect and analyze the data, news and trends from afar. 
 
Now, I have made my decision, I decided to use the $500 I have from the reserves to buy the GLD ETF.  The order was executed today (12/18/2012) and with the $4 fee (automatic investment), I got 3.0255 shares of GLD at $163.94/share.  The GLD is my hedge in case the US does go off the so call Fiscal Cliff where taxes would go up, the economy would go back into recession and stocks would drop.  The GLD would be my firewall in case my portfolio would take a hit and it would also be prudent to bring up my GLD position closer to the recommended 20% of my portfolio (It is currently at 16.7% including today's purchase).   Eventually, I want my AAPL position at around 10-15% of my portfolio (currently at 23%) and the rest of my positions at roughly 10-15%  so that I would not be heavily affected by the now "volatile" Apple stock.
 
In other news, I have received dividend payments since my last post.  It is safe to say, at least my portfolio was "working" on it's own.  Here's the breakdown:
 
Altria (MO): 10/10/2012 = $4.65 -> 0.1387 shares at $33.53.
Ex-Dividend Date: 12/21/2012 and Dividend Date: 01/09/2013
 
Waste Management (WM): 09/21/2012 = $4.19 -> 0.1287 shares at $32.56
                                           12/14/2012 = $4.24 -> 0.1260 shares at $33.65
 
Xilinx Inc. (XLNX): 08/29/2012 = $1.98 -> 0.0585 shares at $33.85
                               11/28/2012 = $1.99 -> 0.0584 shares at $34.08
 
Energy Transfer Partners (ETP): 08/14/2012 = $9.71 -> 0.2223 shares at $43.68
                                                 11/14/2012 = $9.91 -> 0.2354 shares at $42.10
 
Apple (AAPL): 08/16/2012 = $5.69 -> 0.0090 shares at $632.22
                        11/16/2012 = $5.71 -> 0.0106 shares at $538.68
 
Kraft (KFT -> KRFT + MDLZ): 07/17/2012 = $3.39 -> 0.0854 shares at $39.70
                                                   10/15/2012 = $3.42 -> paid to the cash fund which is possibly taxable.
 
Kraft did something special this year.  It broke up the company into 2 different companies which resulted in me having the following stock positions:
Kraft Foods (KRFT) = 3.9261 shares
Mondelez International (MDLZ) = 11.7784 shares
 
KRFT Ex-Dividend Date: 12/27/2012 and Dividend Date: 01/13/2013
MDLZ Ex-Dividend Date: 12/27/2012 and Dividend Date: 01/13/2013
 
KRFT will be the North American Grocery Division which will carry the Velveeta, Miracle Whip and Oscar Meyer brands.
MDLZ will be the Global Snacks Division which will carry the Cadbury, Milka, Oreo and Nabisco brands.
 
So far, both companies are performing well and upon further review, I would decide which of the two I would focus on. 
 
That's it. 2012 is over and the portfolio has survived the Elections, a Tech downturn and even the Apple sell off.  Not at all bad even though I could have locked in my Apple gains 3-4 months ago.  But there is no use reviewing the past.  I am still bullish on Apple and next year could be a big one for Apple with China, the rumored Apple TV set, the iPhone 5s and a possible refresh of the iPad.  If there is one thing I want Apple to deliver for next year it would be a more innovation iOS 7.  In as much as I love the iOS software, it would not hurt to have more innovation in the software and increase their lead from the Android OS.
 
With that, I would like everyone to have a happy holidays.